Arkansas natural disaster risk
Arkansas ranks #17 of 51 from the lowest population-weighted county-score mean in our state comparison. Its highest hazard-score means are ice storm, heat wave, earthquake.
RelocateMath computes these state means by weighting FEMA county scores by population. A mean of county percentiles is not a national state percentile or an official FEMA state rating.
The vertical line marks county-score scale midpoint (50).
Find your county's risk in Arkansas
All 75 county rows with a FEMA score are available below, initially ordered by population.
| County | Population | Risk score | FEMA rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pulaski County | 399,818 | 96.8 | Relatively High |
| Benton County | 303,632 | 88.7 | Relatively Moderate |
| Washington County | 256,765 | 92.3 | Relatively Moderate |
| Sebastian County | 128,900 | 86.8 | Relatively Moderate |
| Faulkner County | 127,717 | 86.2 | Relatively Moderate |
| Saline County | 127,479 | 77.6 | Relatively Low |
| Craighead County | 113,249 | 91.8 | Relatively Moderate |
| Garland County | 100,035 | 89.3 | Relatively Moderate |
| White County | 77,838 | 85.7 | Relatively Moderate |
| Lonoke County | 75,272 | 75.1 | Relatively Low |
| Jefferson County | 64,802 | 85.2 | Relatively Moderate |
| Pope County | 64,131 | 77.8 | Relatively Low |
| Crawford County | 61,139 | 71.6 | Relatively Low |
| Crittenden County | 47,266 | 83.0 | Relatively Moderate |
| Greene County | 46,432 | 80.2 | Relatively Low |
| Baxter County | 42,407 | 72.3 | Relatively Low |
| Miller County | 42,360 | 70.8 | Relatively Low |
| Mississippi County | 39,126 | 89.2 | Relatively Moderate |
| Independence County | 38,175 | 69.1 | Relatively Low |
| Boone County | 38,138 | 62.3 | Relatively Low |
| Union County | 37,900 | 53.9 | Relatively Low |
| Hot Spring County | 33,180 | 55.5 | Relatively Low |
| Carroll County | 28,626 | 64.6 | Relatively Low |
| Johnson County | 26,003 | 58.1 | Relatively Low |
| Cleburne County | 25,226 | 72.7 | Relatively Low |
| Poinsett County | 22,543 | 72.5 | Relatively Low |
| St. Francis County | 22,400 | 74.7 | Relatively Low |
| Columbia County | 22,349 | 42.1 | Very Low |
| Ouachita County | 22,085 | 51.2 | Relatively Low |
| Logan County | 21,277 | 48.2 | Relatively Low |
| Clark County | 21,125 | 41.1 | Very Low |
| Conway County | 21,054 | 56.6 | Relatively Low |
| Yell County | 20,134 | 58.9 | Relatively Low |
| Hempstead County | 19,508 | 52.1 | Relatively Low |
| Polk County | 19,361 | 46.1 | Relatively Low |
| Randolph County | 18,838 | 67.0 | Relatively Low |
| Ashley County | 18,429 | 53.9 | Relatively Low |
| Grant County | 18,242 | 15.7 | Very Low |
| Sharp County | 17,773 | 68.1 | Relatively Low |
| Madison County | 17,329 | 45.1 | Relatively Low |
| Franklin County | 17,326 | 49.4 | Relatively Low |
| Marion County | 17,228 | 48.0 | Relatively Low |
| Drew County | 17,046 | 35.1 | Very Low |
| Jackson County | 16,712 | 67.8 | Relatively Low |
| Cross County | 16,543 | 64.9 | Relatively Low |
| Arkansas County | 16,515 | 63.2 | Relatively Low |
| Lawrence County | 16,238 | 67.9 | Relatively Low |
| Van Buren County | 15,998 | 50.6 | Relatively Low |
| Sevier County | 15,712 | 64.9 | Relatively Low |
| Phillips County | 15,450 | 61.7 | Relatively Low |
| Clay County | 14,280 | 71.6 | Relatively Low |
| Izard County | 14,009 | 53.1 | Relatively Low |
| Lincoln County | 12,950 | 29.8 | Very Low |
| Howard County | 12,583 | 48.5 | Relatively Low |
| Stone County | 12,568 | 49.9 | Relatively Low |
| Fulton County | 12,302 | 50.7 | Relatively Low |
| Little River County | 11,821 | 44.1 | Relatively Low |
| Desha County | 10,786 | 32.9 | Very Low |
| Bradley County | 10,208 | 30.8 | Very Low |
| Pike County | 10,115 | 26.6 | Very Low |
| Perry County | 10,101 | 28.1 | Very Low |
| Scott County | 9,816 | 26.8 | Very Low |
| Chicot County | 9,765 | 43.8 | Relatively Low |
| Montgomery County | 8,553 | 30.7 | Very Low |
| Lee County | 8,359 | 40.4 | Very Low |
| Nevada County | 8,159 | 30.6 | Very Low |
| Prairie County | 8,064 | 41.4 | Very Low |
| Searcy County | 7,859 | 27.7 | Very Low |
| Cleveland County | 7,453 | 9.5 | Very Low |
| Newton County | 7,112 | 18.4 | Very Low |
| Monroe County | 6,589 | 36.5 | Very Low |
| Dallas County | 6,242 | 10.1 | Very Low |
| Lafayette County | 6,136 | 33.2 | Very Low |
| Woodruff County | 6,026 | 42.3 | Very Low |
| Calhoun County | 4,704 | 2.3 | Very Low |
The county rows show FEMA's own county percentile scores and rating categories; the state figures above are our weighted means. County data cannot establish a property's safety. Expected loss is modeled annual loss per resident, not a premium quote. The insurance figure is what owners with a mortgage reported paying in 2024 (Census American Community Survey), not a current quote. For a specific home, check the address on FEMA's flood map and get insurance quotes before you commit. Our guide explains how to check natural disaster risk before you move.
Lowest FEMA county risk scores in Arkansas
- Clark County 41.1
- Columbia County 42.1
- Logan County 48.2
- Ouachita County 51.2
- Union County 53.9
- Hot Spring County 55.5
- Conway County 56.6
- Johnson County 58.1
Cities in Arkansas
- Memphis, TN county-score mean 92.9
- Little Rock, AR county-score mean 86.9
- Fayetteville, AR county-score mean 89
Frequently asked questions
Is Arkansas safe from natural disasters?
Arkansas's population-weighted county-score mean is 76.4 out of 100 (high county-score mean), #17 of 51 from the lowest mean in our state comparison. A state average cannot show whether an individual home is safe. About 13% of residents live in counties FEMA rates relatively high or very high.
What natural disasters happen in Arkansas?
The highest population-weighted county hazard-score means in Arkansas are ice storm, heat wave, earthquake (means 96, 86, 86 on the 0–100 county-score scale). These are not national state percentiles.
Which counties have the lowest modeled risk scores in Arkansas?
Among counties with at least 20,000 people, the lowest FEMA county risk scores are in Clark County, Columbia County, Logan County. Conditions vary within each county; check an individual address separately.